Deepwater Horizon: Statistical Modeling – NOAA’s National Ocean Service Office of Response and Restoration

Posted by Trish Riley, July 5, 2010

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NOAA has used computer models to estimate the potential threats to U.S. coastlines that might result if oil spilling from the Deepwater Horizon site continues until a relief well successfully stops the flow.

Much of the west coast of Florida has a low probability (1%–20%) for impact, but the Florida Keys, Miami, and Fort Lauderdale areas have a greater probability (61%–80%) due to the potential influence of the Loop Current [leaves OR&R site].

via Deepwater Horizon: Statistical Modeling | Recent and Historical Incidents | Emergency Response | NOAA’s National Ocean Service Office of Response and Restoration.

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